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Super Bowl LIII Analysis: Rams offense versus Patriots defense

Photo credit via Flickr: Brook Ward

The Rams enter play averaging 28 points per game in the post season. This is actually down from their second ranked scoring offense during the regular season at 32.9 per contest. They were third in rushing, fifth in passing and second overall in yards from scrimmage.

New England has played the classic, “bend but don’t break” defense. While ranked 22nd against the pass and 21st overall in terms of yards, the Patriots allowed just 20.3 points per game, seventh in the league.

Los Angeles should be able to pick apart the Patriots secondary if Jared Goff has time to throw. He was sacked 33 times this season, but the Patriots sacked quarterbacks a rather pedestrian 30 times, lead by Trey Flowers with 7.5 sacks.  If Goff is given time, he can find top targets Robert Woods and Brandin Cooks, who combined for 166 catches, 2423 yards and 11 touchdowns this season. However, if Goff is pressured, he could be forced into a turnover. New England intercepted 18 passes as a unit, lead by Duron Williams with four and J.C. Jackson and Jonathan Jones, each with three.

Although running back Todd Gurley had only five touches in the NFC Championship Game, coach Sean McVay said Gurley will be featured in the Super Bowl.  That could be bad news for the Patriots who allow nearly five yards per carry. Therefore, they are unlikely to be able to contain Gurley, who rushed for 1251 yards and 17 touchdowns during the regular season. He also gashed Dallas in the divisional round with 115 yards on 16 carries.  Also watch for C.J. Anderson, who had 123 yards against Dallas and had 16 carries against the Saints.

The key to the Rams scoring will be their performance in the red zone. New England ranked 24th in opponents red zone touchdown scoring percentage at 63.5 percent.  Jared Goff has 24 touchdowns against only 2 interceptions inside the 20.

Rams vs Patriots Betting Prediction

The Rams will be able to move the ball and score with regularity, which should prompt another high scoring Super Bowl shootout.

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